La Liga · Regular Season - 8
Alaves crestAlaves
vs
Atletico Madrid crestAtletico Madrid

Alaves vs Atletico Madrid prediction

· Estadio de Mendizorroza

Updated

How will Alaves vs Atletico Madrid end?

Matchwise prediction: Atletico Madrid to win (50%). Alaves 27% · draw 24% · Atletico Madrid 50%, from Matchwise's statistical model blended with the betting market. The predicted score and best pick are revealed here at kick-off.

Matchwise's statistical model has Atletico Madrid as favourites at Estadio de Mendizorroza: Atletico Madrid 50%, draw 24%, Alaves 27% (La Liga, Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC).

Win probability

Alaves27%
Draw24%
Atletico Madrid50%

Matchwise statistical model (STT), blended with the betting market. Probabilities, not certainties.

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Revealed here once the match kicks off — then graded against the result.

League position & form

TeamPosPtsGDForm
Alaves611+5DLLWW
Atletico Madrid216+9WWWLW

Current La Liga table; form = last five league results, most recent on the right.

Team news

Alaves

  • F. Garces (Suspended)
  • V. Koski (Muscle Injury)
  • M. Rodriguez (Ankle Injury)

Atletico Madrid

  • A. Sorloth (Muscle Injury)

Head to head

DateMatchScore
18 Jan 2026Atletico Madrid vs Alaves · La Liga1-0
30 Aug 2025Alaves vs Atletico Madrid · La Liga1-1
3 May 2025Alaves vs Atletico Madrid · La Liga0-0
23 Nov 2024Atletico Madrid vs Alaves · La Liga2-1
21 Apr 2024Alaves vs Atletico Madrid · La Liga2-0

FAQ

Who will win Alaves vs Atletico Madrid?

Matchwise's statistical model gives Alaves a 27% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atletico Madrid 50%. These are probabilities, not certainties.

When does Alaves vs Atletico Madrid kick off?

Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC, in the La Liga (Regular Season - 8).

Where is Alaves vs Atletico Madrid played?

At Estadio de Mendizorroza.

Matchwise is an analytics service, not a bookmaker: it does not accept wagers, hold funds or place bets. Content is for users 18+ and is informational only. More La Liga predictions · track record · how it works.

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