Arsenal vs Leeds Prediction

How will Arsenal vs Leeds end?

Matchwise prediction: Arsenal to win (68%). Arsenal 68% · draw 18% · Leeds 14%, from Matchwise's statistical model blended with the betting market. The predicted score and best pick are revealed here at kick-off.

Matchwise's statistical model makes Arsenal clear favourites at Emirates Stadium: Arsenal 68%, draw 18%, Leeds 14% (Premier League, Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC).

Win probability

Arsenal68%

Draw18%

Leeds14%

Matchwise statistical model (STT), blended with the betting market. Probabilities, not certainties.

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Predicted half-time & full-time score
Best pick for this match
Over 2.5 goals & both-teams-to-score probability
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Revealed here once the match kicks off — then graded against the result.

League position & form

Team	Pos	Pts	GD	Form
Arsenal	2	12	+4	LWWWW
Leeds	5	9	+4	DWDDW

Current Premier League table; form = last five league results, most recent on the right.

Head to head

Date	Match	Score
31 Jan 2026	Leeds vs Arsenal · Premier League	0-4
23 Aug 2025	Arsenal vs Leeds · Premier League	5-0
1 Apr 2023	Arsenal vs Leeds · Premier League	4-1
16 Oct 2022	Leeds vs Arsenal · Premier League	0-1
8 May 2022	Arsenal vs Leeds · Premier League	2-1

FAQ

Who will win Arsenal vs Leeds?

Matchwise's statistical model gives Arsenal a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Leeds 14%. These are probabilities, not certainties.

When does Arsenal vs Leeds kick off?

Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC, in the Premier League (Regular Season - 6).

Where is Arsenal vs Leeds played?

At Emirates Stadium.

Who is the referee for Arsenal vs Leeds?

Paul Tierney.

Matchwise is an analytics service, not a bookmaker: it does not accept wagers, hold funds or place bets. Content is for users 18+ and is informational only. More Premier League predictions · track record · how it works.