Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid: Prediction vs Result

How will Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid end?

It ended Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid. Matchwise's pre-match best pick (Away Win or Draw) lost.

Atletico Madrid beat Real Madrid 2-1 in the La Liga. Before kick-off Matchwise's model had Real Madrid as 44% favourites and its best pick — Away Win or Draw — lost.

Win probability

Atletico Madrid34%

Draw23%

Real Madrid44%

Matchwise statistical model (STT), blended with the betting market. Probabilities, not certainties.

What Matchwise predicted

Predicted score1-2 (HT 0-0)

Best pickAway Win or Draw 66%Pick lost

Over 2.5 goals60%

Both teams to score59%

Expected goals (model)1.34 – 1.43

Most likely scores1-2 8% · 0-1 8% · 0-2 6%

Actual result2-1 (HT 0-0)

Goals

53'A. Grimaldo (pen)Atletico Madrid
59'J. DavidAtletico Madrid
89'A. RudigerReal Madrid

Match stats

2.35xG0.3

61%Ball Possession39%

18Total Shots8

9Shots on Goal3

3Corner Kicks1

90%Pass accuracy86%

19Fouls6

2Yellow Cards2

Head to head

Date	Match	Score
22 Mar 2026	Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid · La Liga	3-2
8 Jan 2026	Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid · Super Cup	1-2
27 Sept 2025	Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid · La Liga	5-2
12 Mar 2025	Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid · UEFA Champions League	1-0
4 Mar 2025	Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid · UEFA Champions League	2-1

FAQ

What was the score in Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid?

Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid (half-time 0-0), played on 20 Sept 2026 in the La Liga.

Did Matchwise predict Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid correctly?

Matchwise's best pick was "Away Win or Draw", and it lost. The model's predicted score was 1-2. Every pick is graded against the official result and counted in the public track record.

Matchwise is an analytics service, not a bookmaker: it does not accept wagers, hold funds or place bets. Content is for users 18+ and is informational only. More La Liga predictions · track record · how it works.

Atletico Madrid 2-1 Real Madrid