Benfica 3-1 Aarhus: Prediction vs Result

How will Benfica vs Aarhus end?

It ended Benfica 3-1 Aarhus. Matchwise's pre-match best pick (Home Win) won.

Benfica beat Aarhus 3-1 in the UEFA Europa League. Before kick-off Matchwise's model had Benfica as 78% favourites and its best pick — Home Win — won.

Win probability

Benfica78%

Draw12%

Aarhus9%

Matchwise statistical model (STT), blended with the betting market. Probabilities, not certainties.

What Matchwise predicted

Predicted score2-0 (HT 1-0)

Best pickHome Win 78%Pick won

Over 2.5 goals73%

Both teams to score54%

Expected goals (model)2.82 – 0.93

Most likely scores2-0 10% · 3-0 10% · 2-1 8%

Actual result3-1 (HT 3-1)

Goals

2'Rafa SilvaBenfica
31'L. BarreiroBenfica
36'S. JorgensenAarhus
45'V. Pavlidis (pen)Benfica

Match stats

71%Ball Possession29%

13Shots on Goal1

11Corner Kicks1

10Fouls17

2Yellow Cards1

FAQ

What was the score in Benfica vs Aarhus?

Benfica 3-1 Aarhus (half-time 3-1), played on 20 Aug 2026 in the UEFA Europa League.

Did Matchwise predict Benfica vs Aarhus correctly?

Matchwise's best pick was "Home Win", and it won. The model's predicted score was 2-0. Every pick is graded against the official result and counted in the public track record.

Matchwise is an analytics service, not a bookmaker: it does not accept wagers, hold funds or place bets. Content is for users 18+ and is informational only. More Europa League predictions · track record · how it works.

Benfica 3-1 Aarhus