Bundesliga · Regular Season - 5
FSV Mainz 05 crestFSV Mainz 05
vs
Bayer Leverkusen crestBayer Leverkusen

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction

· MEWA Arena · Referee Max Burda

Updated

How will FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen end?

Matchwise prediction: Bayer Leverkusen to win (41%). FSV Mainz 05 36% · draw 23% · Bayer Leverkusen 41%, from Matchwise's statistical model blended with the betting market. The predicted score and best pick are revealed here at kick-off.

Matchwise's statistical model rates this one as close to even at MEWA Arena: Bayer Leverkusen 41%, draw 23%, FSV Mainz 05 36% (Bundesliga, Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC).

Win probability

FSV Mainz 0536%
Draw23%
Bayer Leverkusen41%

Matchwise statistical model (STT), blended with the betting market. Probabilities, not certainties.

Unlocked in the free app
  • Predicted half-time & full-time score
  • Best pick for this match
  • Over 2.5 goals & both-teams-to-score probability
  • Matchwise AI's full read with team news
Get the full prediction

Revealed here once the match kicks off — then graded against the result.

League position & form

TeamPosPtsGDForm
FSV Mainz 0567+4WLWD
Bayer Leverkusen57+5WDWL

Current Bundesliga table; form = last five league results, most recent on the right.

Head to head

DateMatchScore
28 Feb 2026Bayer Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga1-1
18 Oct 2025FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen · Bundesliga3-4
17 May 2025FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen · Bundesliga2-2
14 Jan 2025Bayer Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga1-0
23 Feb 2024Bayer Leverkusen vs FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga2-1

FAQ

Who will win FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Matchwise's statistical model gives FSV Mainz 05 a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bayer Leverkusen 41%. These are probabilities, not certainties.

When does FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen kick off?

Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC, in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 5).

Where is FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen played?

At MEWA Arena.

Who is the referee for FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Max Burda.

Matchwise is an analytics service, not a bookmaker: it does not accept wagers, hold funds or place bets. Content is for users 18+ and is informational only. More Bundesliga predictions · track record · how it works.

Get the full pick before kick-off.

Predicted score, best pick and Matchwise AI's read — free on iOS and Android.