Leeds 4-1 Newcastle: Prediction vs Result

How will Leeds vs Newcastle end?

It ended Leeds 4-1 Newcastle. Matchwise's pre-match best pick (Home Win or Draw) won.

Leeds beat Newcastle 4-1 in the Premier League. Before kick-off Matchwise's model had Leeds as 44% favourites and its best pick — Home Win or Draw — won.

Win probability

Leeds44%

Draw24%

Newcastle32%

Matchwise statistical model (STT), blended with the betting market. Probabilities, not certainties.

What Matchwise predicted

Predicted score1-0 (HT 0-0)

Best pickHome Win or Draw 68%Pick won

Over 2.5 goals55%

Both teams to score56%

Expected goals (model)1.49 – 1.19

Most likely scores1-0 10% · 2-1 9% · 2-0 7%

Actual result4-1 (HT 3-0)

Goals

32'L. Miley (OG)Leeds
34'D. Calvert-LewinLeeds
45'D. Calvert-LewinLeeds
59'N. OkaforLeeds
90'B. ToureNewcastle

Match stats

2.08xG0.88

50%Ball Possession50%

15Total Shots7

6Shots on Goal5

5Corner Kicks5

84%Pass accuracy82%

8Fouls13

1Yellow Cards2

Head to head

Date	Match	Score
7 Jan 2026	Newcastle vs Leeds · Premier League	4-3
30 Aug 2025	Leeds vs Newcastle · Premier League	0-0
13 May 2023	Leeds vs Newcastle · Premier League	2-2
31 Dec 2022	Newcastle vs Leeds · Premier League	0-0
22 Jan 2022	Leeds vs Newcastle · Premier League	0-1

FAQ

What was the score in Leeds vs Newcastle?

Leeds 4-1 Newcastle (half-time 3-0), played on 14 Sept 2026 in the Premier League.

Did Matchwise predict Leeds vs Newcastle correctly?

Matchwise's best pick was "Home Win or Draw", and it won. The model's predicted score was 1-0. Every pick is graded against the official result and counted in the public track record.

Matchwise is an analytics service, not a bookmaker: it does not accept wagers, hold funds or place bets. Content is for users 18+ and is informational only. More Premier League predictions · track record · how it works.

Leeds 4-1 Newcastle