Lorient 2-2 Toulouse: Prediction vs Result

How will Lorient vs Toulouse end?

It ended Lorient 2-2 Toulouse. Matchwise's pre-match best pick (Home Win or Draw) won.

Lorient and Toulouse drew 2-2 in the Ligue 1. Before kick-off Matchwise's model had Lorient as 40% favourites and its best pick — Home Win or Draw — won.

Win probability

Lorient40%

Draw25%

Toulouse35%

Matchwise statistical model (STT), blended with the betting market. Probabilities, not certainties.

What Matchwise predicted

Predicted score1-0 (HT 0-0)

Best pickHome Win or Draw 66%Pick won

Over 2.5 goals51%

Both teams to score54%

Expected goals (model)1.37 – 1.19

Most likely scores1-0 10% · 2-1 8% · 2-0 6%

Actual result2-2 (HT 2-0)

Goals

37'Ibrahima BaldéLorient
39'Noah MbambaLorient
48'Casper TengstedtToulouse
68'Thomas JørgensenToulouse

Match stats

0.93xG1.63

41%Ball Possession59%

10Total Shots13

3Shots on Goal4

4Corner Kicks3

84%Pass accuracy88%

8Fouls18

1Yellow Cards0

Head to head

Date	Match	Score
21 Mar 2026	Toulouse vs Lorient · Ligue 1	1-0
9 Nov 2025	Lorient vs Toulouse · Ligue 1	1-1
28 Apr 2024	Lorient vs Toulouse · Ligue 1	1-2
3 Dec 2023	Toulouse vs Lorient · Ligue 1	1-1
23 Apr 2023	Lorient vs Toulouse · Ligue 1	0-1

FAQ

What was the score in Lorient vs Toulouse?

Lorient 2-2 Toulouse (half-time 2-0), played on 12 Sept 2026 in the Ligue 1.

Did Matchwise predict Lorient vs Toulouse correctly?

Matchwise's best pick was "Home Win or Draw", and it won. The model's predicted score was 1-0. Every pick is graded against the official result and counted in the public track record.

Matchwise is an analytics service, not a bookmaker: it does not accept wagers, hold funds or place bets. Content is for users 18+ and is informational only. More Ligue 1 predictions · track record · how it works.

Lorient 2-2 Toulouse