La Liga · Regular Season - 8
Real Madrid crestReal Madrid
vs
Villarreal crestVillarreal

Real Madrid vs Villarreal prediction

· Santiago Bernabéu Stadium

Updated

How will Real Madrid vs Villarreal end?

Matchwise prediction: Real Madrid to win (66%). Real Madrid 66% · draw 18% · Villarreal 17%, from Matchwise's statistical model blended with the betting market. The predicted score and best pick are revealed here at kick-off.

Matchwise's statistical model makes Real Madrid clear favourites at Santiago Bernabéu Stadium: Real Madrid 66%, draw 18%, Villarreal 17% (La Liga, Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC).

Win probability

Real Madrid66%
Draw18%
Villarreal17%

Matchwise statistical model (STT), blended with the betting market. Probabilities, not certainties.

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Revealed here once the match kicks off — then graded against the result.

League position & form

TeamPosPtsGDForm
Real Madrid415+10LWWLW
Villarreal98+1WWLLL

Current La Liga table; form = last five league results, most recent on the right.

Team news

Real Madrid

  • R. Asencio (Broken Leg)
  • D. Huijsen (Red Card)
  • F. Mendy (Hip Injury)
  • Rodrygo (Knee Injury)
  • Eder Militao (Hamstring Injury)
  • F. Valverde (Ankle Injury)

Villarreal

  • T. Buchanan (Muscle Injury)

Head to head

DateMatchScore
24 Jan 2026Villarreal vs Real Madrid · La Liga0-2
4 Oct 2025Real Madrid vs Villarreal · La Liga3-1
15 Mar 2025Villarreal vs Real Madrid · La Liga1-2
5 Oct 2024Real Madrid vs Villarreal · La Liga2-0
19 May 2024Villarreal vs Real Madrid · La Liga4-4

FAQ

Who will win Real Madrid vs Villarreal?

Matchwise's statistical model gives Real Madrid a 66% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Villarreal 17%. These are probabilities, not certainties.

When does Real Madrid vs Villarreal kick off?

Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC, in the La Liga (Regular Season - 8).

Where is Real Madrid vs Villarreal played?

At Santiago Bernabéu Stadium.

Matchwise is an analytics service, not a bookmaker: it does not accept wagers, hold funds or place bets. Content is for users 18+ and is informational only. More La Liga predictions · track record · how it works.

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