Alaves vs Malaga Prediction

How will Alaves vs Malaga end?

Matchwise prediction: Alaves to win (70%). Alaves 70% · draw 18% · Malaga 13%, from Matchwise's statistical model blended with the betting market. The predicted score and best pick are revealed here at kick-off.

Matchwise's statistical model makes Alaves clear favourites at Estadio Mendizorrotza: Alaves 70%, draw 18%, Malaga 13% (La Liga, Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC).

Win probability

Alaves70%

Draw18%

Malaga13%

Matchwise statistical model (STT), blended with the betting market. Probabilities, not certainties.

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Over 2.5 goals & both-teams-to-score probability
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Revealed here once the match kicks off — then graded against the result.

League position & form

Team	Pos	Pts	GD	Form
Alaves	7	11	+4	LDLLW
Malaga	20	4	-9	DLLDD

Current La Liga table; form = last five league results, most recent on the right.

Head to head

Date	Match	Score
20 May 2023	Alaves vs Malaga · Segunda División	2-1
18 Dec 2022	Malaga vs Alaves · Segunda División	1-0
6 May 2018	Malaga vs Alaves · La Liga	0-3
21 Dec 2017	Alaves vs Malaga · La Liga	1-0
11 Mar 2017	Malaga vs Alaves · La Liga	1-2

More from Alaves and Malaga

18 Oct 14:15

Celta Vigo

Alaves 50% · 22% · 28% 18 Oct 16:30

Malaga

Real Sociedad 40% · 23% · 38% 10 Oct

Alaves

Atletico Madrid 1-2Pick won 9 Oct

Malaga

Espanyol 1-1Pick won 20 Sept

Getafe

Malaga 1-0Pick won 19 Sept

Athletic Club

Alaves 0-0Pick lost

FAQ

Who will win Alaves vs Malaga?

Matchwise's statistical model gives Alaves a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Malaga 13%. These are probabilities, not certainties.

When does Alaves vs Malaga kick off?

Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC, in the La Liga (Regular Season - 10).

Where is Alaves vs Malaga played?

At Estadio Mendizorrotza.

Matchwise is an analytics service, not a bookmaker: it does not accept wagers, hold funds or place bets. Content is for users 18+ and is informational only. More La Liga predictions · track record · how it works.